There's a pattern in the current boys top 100 that doesn't get talked about much: a disproportionate number of top boy names end in -er.
Carter. Cooper. Hunter. Parker. Walker. Archer. River. Spencer. Fletcher. Tyler.
These aren't random — they share a common ancestor: the occupational surname. Most of them derive from medieval English trades (a carter hauled goods, a cooper made barrels, a fletcher made arrows). They became last names first, then crossed over to first names in the 1990s and 2000s.
The pattern is still going. Some of these names are at their peak. A few are already declining. And a new wave is coming.
The data
| Name | 1994 Rank | 2004 Rank | 2014 Rank | 2024 Rank | 2024 Babies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler | #5 | #16 | #72 | #191 | 1,908 |
| Hunter | #67 | #49 | #40 | #128 | 2,831 |
| Carter | #422 | #89 | #27 | #46 | 6,267 |
| Cooper | #439 | #133 | #86 | #50 | 5,699 |
| Parker | #238 | #131 | #73 | #97 | 3,605 |
| Walker | #533 | #380 | #326 | #82 | 4,023 |
| River | #927 | #549 | #287 | #112 | 3,138 |
| Archer | — | #1,445 | #301 | #115 | 3,093 |
| Spencer | #98 | #151 | #248 | #386 | 840 |
| Fletcher | #1,179 | #962 | #708 | #564 | 523 |
The table shows three distinct trajectories: names that have already peaked and are declining (Tyler, Spencer), names that are near their peak (Carter, Cooper, Hunter), and names still rising sharply (Walker, Archer, River).
Tyler: the pioneer that peaked

Tyler — Boys #191, 1,908 babies in 2024.
Tyler was the trailblazer. In 1994 it was #5 — one of the most popular boys names in America, driven by the same early 1990s enthusiasm for occupational surnames that later produced Carter and Cooper.
| Year | Rank | Babies |
|---|---|---|
| 1994 | #5 | 30,480 |
| 2000 | #10 | 19,762 |
| 2004 | #16 | 17,450 |
| 2010 | #36 | 9,219 |
| 2014 | #72 | 5,849 |
| 2020 | #163 | 2,311 |
| 2024 | #191 | 1,908 |
Tyler's decline from #5 to #191 in 30 years illustrates how these occupational surnames age: they enter the charts as fresh and modern, peak, then decline as they accumulate associations with a specific generation. Tyler sounds like someone born in the mid-1990s now, just as Jason sounded like someone born in the 1970s by the 2000s. See generational names for the full pattern.
Carter and Cooper: the wave that replaced Tyler
Carter — Boys #46, 6,267 babies in 2024.
Carter followed Tyler's path but a decade later, and has gone higher proportionally:
| Year | Rank | Babies |
|---|---|---|
| 1994 | #422 | 544 |
| 2000 | #130 | 3,145 |
| 2004 | #89 | 5,009 |
| 2010 | #43 | 8,208 |
| 2014 | #27 | 10,690 |
| 2020 | #38 | 8,058 |
| 2024 | #46 | 6,267 |
Carter peaked around 2014 at #27 and is in slow decline — the same curve Tyler traced, just 20 years later. By 2034, Carter will probably look similar to how Tyler looks today: solidly associated with kids born in the 2010s.
Cooper — Boys #50, 5,699 babies in 2024.
Cooper ran almost in parallel with Carter and is holding stronger:
| Year | Rank | Babies |
|---|---|---|
| 1994 | #439 | 518 |
| 2004 | #133 | 3,045 |
| 2014 | #86 | 4,850 |
| 2020 | #54 | 5,565 |
| 2024 | #50 | 5,699 |
Cooper is still rising slightly, which puts it about 8-10 years behind Carter's curve. Both names benefited from President Clinton and then Bradley Cooper's movie career giving the name additional celebrity cachet.
Walker: the late riser

Walker — Boys #82, 4,023 babies in 2024.
Walker spent two decades barely moving — from #533 in 1994 to #380 in 2004 to #326 in 2014 — and then launched:
| Year | Rank | Babies |
|---|---|---|
| 1994 | #533 | 369 |
| 2004 | #380 | 722 |
| 2014 | #326 | 1,046 |
| 2018 | #193 | 1,965 |
| 2020 | #122 | 2,784 |
| 2022 | #91 | 3,608 |
| 2024 | #82 | 4,023 |
Walker's acceleration from 2016 onward suggests it's still in the early rise phase of the occupational surname arc. Walker has strong associations with Texas Ranger culture (Walker, Texas Ranger ran 1993-2001) but that's not driving the current rise — it's purely the occupational-surname trend finding the next name in the category. Walker is likely to keep climbing for several more years.
Archer: the steepest climb
Archer — Boys #115, 3,093 babies in 2024.
Archer's rise is the most dramatic in this set:
| Year | Rank | Babies |
|---|---|---|
| 1994 | — | 8 |
| 2004 | #1,445 | 96 |
| 2010 | #705 | 363 |
| 2014 | #301 | 1,182 |
| 2018 | #188 | 1,960 |
| 2020 | #152 | 2,262 |
| 2022 | #119 | 2,930 |
| 2024 | #115 | 3,093 |
Archer went from essentially zero in 1994 to #115 in 2024. It's a medieval occupational surname (a maker or user of bows) that had never been common as a given name, and it's now firmly in the boys top 150. It's still rising. At this rate, Archer could crack the top 80 within 5 years.
The FX animated series Archer (started 2009) may have introduced the name into cultural consciousness, but the sustained rise across more than a decade suggests genuine independent appeal — the clean -er ending, the cool occupational meaning, the slight vintage edge. See occupational-names for more on this pattern.
River: the natural exception

River — Boys #112, 3,138 babies in 2024.
River technically doesn't fit the occupational surname category — it's a nature name — but it shares the -er ending and the same aesthetic:
| Year | Rank | Babies |
|---|---|---|
| 1994 | #927 | 141 |
| 2004 | #549 | 420 |
| 2014 | #287 | 1,243 |
| 2018 | #217 | 1,706 |
| 2020 | #166 | 2,060 |
| 2022 | #117 | 2,925 |
| 2024 | #112 | 3,138 |
River Phoenix died in 1993, which gave the name a tragic elegiac quality — not the most obvious baby-name inspiration, but the name has genuine appeal independent of celebrity. It's a two-syllable nature name with the -er ending that fits perfectly with the current aesthetic. River is still rising and hasn't plateaued.
Hunter: peak and slow decline
Hunter — Boys #128, 2,831 babies in 2024.
Hunter was actually ahead of Carter and Cooper in the 1990s surge (#67 in 1994) but is now declining while the others held on longer:
| Year | Rank | Babies |
|---|---|---|
| 1994 | #67 | 5,585 |
| 2000 | #32 | 9,561 |
| 2004 | #49 | 8,902 |
| 2010 | #38 | 8,834 |
| 2014 | #40 | 8,838 |
| 2020 | #69 | 4,726 |
| 2024 | #128 | 2,831 |
Hunter peaked in the 2000s-2010s at a remarkable level — 8,000+ babies per year for over a decade. It's now in consistent decline. The name may suffer from an association with hunting as a cultural activity that has become less neutral, or it may simply be following the natural generational arc. 2,831 babies is still a significant count; Hunter isn't going away, but it's clearly past its prime.
What comes next
Looking at the data, Fletcher (#564, 523 babies) and Spencer (#386, 840 babies) are declining. But Archer, Walker, and River are all still rising.
What's the next name in this pattern? A few candidates from lower in the charts: Thatcher (medieval occupation: one who thatches roofs), Sawyer (a sawmill worker — already at #114 for girls, slower for boys), Mercer (a textile merchant), and Slater (a slate worker). These are names that share the occupational-surname -er structure and are appearing more frequently in the lower ranks.
The occupational surname trend shows no sign of stopping — it just keeps producing new names to climb. The question is always which specific name catches the wave first.
See surname-names for the broader surname-as-first-name trend, and rising-boy-names-2024 for the current fastest climbers.